Tag Archives: carey price

Carey Price’s Goals Allowed: November 2010

In the second installment in this series, it’s time to visually inspect the goals allowed by Carey Price in the month of November 2010 (you can find Carey Price’s October 2010 goals allowed here).

November 2010 was a tremendous month for Carey, as the moustachioed one posted a 9-4-1 record with 3 shutouts and an aggregate save percentage of .947, this despite facing an average barrage of slightly more than 32 shots per game.

Carey Price’s Goals Allowed: October 2010

For your viewing, dissecting, and obsessing pleasure, I’ve put together a visual compilation of all the goals conceded by Carey Price in the first month of the 2010-2011 NHL season. Accompanying each visual is the meta-data about the goal, pulled directly from the NHL.com full play-by-play logs.

When analyzing the performance of a goalie, quantitative metrics like save percentage, goals against average, and won-loss record only go so far towards truly encapsulating the overall quality of that netminder. Qualitative assessments of each goal must be undertaken to paint a true picture of his performance.

I am far from being a goaltending specialist, but it is my hope that a technician can take this presentation and tell us a far more vivid and meaningful story about Carey’s strengths and weaknesses than the standard statistics allow for.

Carey: a postseason history

I did a shot-by-shot breakdown of Carey Price’s 2010 playoff performance and looked at his save percentage by every possible split. Working from the NHL play-by-play sheets, I was able to amass a lot of data about the shots he faced: situation, shooter, shot type, distance, and location on the ice. Below, you can see the variations in his save percentage from situation to situation.

I’m going to be taking a break from blogging for awhile to focus on some personal things, but my goal for 2010-2011 is to perform this type of tracking and classification for every single shot faced by Habs goalies. There’s just one thing missing from the NHL play-by-play sheets: shot trajectory. They don’t log the path a shot takes towards the net. So, from the logs alone, I have no visibility into whether a shot is going high glove side or low stick side or five hole or whatnot. To overcome that, I’ll chart each shot and then reconcile my numbers with the NHL.com play-by-play data. A fun challenge!

Anyway, see you in the new season. Enjoy Carey’s 2010 playoff numbers for now:

Split Goals Saves Shots Save %
Even strength 6 51 57 0.895
on Power Play 1 0 1 0.000
Short Handed 1 14 15 0.933
vs. Defencemen 0 15 15 1.000
vs. Forwards 8 50 58 0.862
Shooter’s S%: <10%* 1 19 20 0.950
Shooter’s S%: 10% – 14%* 6 21 27 0.778
Shooter’s S%: >14%* 1 25 26 0.962
Backhand 1 5 6 0.833
Slap 0 14 14 1.000
Snap 1 8 9 0.889
Wrist 6 35 41 0.854
Other type 0 3 3 1.000
1 – 15 ft away 4 14 18 0.778
16 – 30 ft away 3 17 20 0.850
31 – 45 ft away 1 15 16 0.938
46 ft + away 0 19 19 1.000
from Slot 5 24 29 0.828
from Carey’s LEFT 1 21 22 0.955
from Carey’s RIGHT 2 18 20 0.900
Neutral zone 0 2 2 1.000
* note that these are regular season figures

Jaroslav Halak’s 2010 playoffs in historical context

He shocked an entire league by morphing from part-time starter to all-world goaltender who owned Alex Ovechkin and Sidney Crosby. He put an entire city on his back and thrilled its people with his team’s deepest playoff run in almost 20 years. And finally, he was dealt for a guy named Lars.

Yes, of course, I’m talking about Jaroslav Halak’s 2010 springtime.

Much has been written about Halak being traded to St. Louis, with passionate voices being heard on both sides. To add context (and perhaps fuel) to the ongoing discourse surrounding the Halak move, I decided to look at his 2010 playoff performance in the light of the many wonderful playoff performances turned in by Montreal Canadiens goalies since Ken Dryden’s rookie season. I went back to the 1971 playoff season and isolated every single series performance turned in by a Montreal Canadiens goalie who had started at least three games in the relevant series. The results are visible in the table below. I concatenated three variables to create a code representing each series performance: goalie name-playoff year-round number. (e.g. Dryden-1979-2 for Ken Dryden’s performance in the second round in 1979).

Montreal Canadiens Playoff Goaltending Performances

Montreal Canadiens Single-Series Playoff Goaltending Performances (sorted by series save %)

As the table shows, Halak’s magisterial first round performance against Ovechkin and the Washington Capitals is among the top five single series performances turned in by a Canadiens goalie since 1971 (measured by aggregate save percentage in that series):

1. Steve Penney, 1984, Round 1 vs. Boston: .974 save percentage
2. Ken Dryden, 1976, Round 2 vs. Chicago: .973 save percentage
3. Ken Dryden, 1977, Round 2 vs. St. Louis: .962 save percentage
4. Patrick Roy, 1989, Round 3 vs. Philly: .940 save percentage
5. Jaroslav Halak, 2010, Round 1 vs. Washington: .939 save percentage

More impressive is the fact that he posted this save percentage while facing an average of 40.4 shots per 60 minutes played. Of the other goalies who registered top 5 single series performances, none faced more than 28 shots per 60 minutes. From a puck bombardment standpoint, the 40.4 shots per 60 minutes that Halak endured are the second most ever faced by a Canadiens goalie in a single playoff series, a hair behind the firestorm unleashed on Dryden by Boston in the 1971 playoffs (40.7).

In summary, when Halak was working his magic this spring, he was operating on a truly rarefied plateau. His heroics against Washington should be mentioned anytime discussions occur about the greatest Montreal Canadiens playoff goaltending performances.

The raw data that was used to compile the table above was pulled from Hockey-Reference.com and the Hockey Summary Project.